UN Report and greenhouse gases

According to the greenhouse gas reduction target for decarbonisation announced by the United Nations on 25 October, the emissions in 2030 will increase by 10% compared to the present time, it said. Within a year after everyone hoists the decarbonisation slogan, we, unfortunately, see an increase rather than a reduction, that is. Given this background, It seems the 20% rise in natural gas prices over the last few months significantly caused the reversion to coal-fired power. But in reality, we can see that the economy is about to recover rapidly from the contraction caused by COVID-19. It is just like what happened in 2009; the rapid recovery of the economy supported by the growth of the manufacturing sector and the increase in the number of trucks due to the rise in logistics creates the greenhouse gas emissions increased.

In other words: when there is constant economic growth, it is possible to raise the amount of greenhouse gas reduction from a qualitative point of view. But then, when there is a contingency, such as the Lehman shock or the recent COVID-19, the quantification of greenhouse gas reduction will be blown away.  In a sense, the time has finally come for us to move away from the phenomenon of decarbonisation to a world where we would be facing reality, we can say.

Disappearing Decarbonisation 2030 Scenario and CCUDM

With this in mind, it would be vital that even if an emergency occurs, we will need technology to handle it. However, given the increase in greenhouse gases announced by the United Nations, it may be indicating that there is currently no adequate technology for reducing greenhouse gases. I think it is vital to continue the development of CCUS, CCS and CCUDM (Carbon-dioxide Capture, Utilization, Disposal and Mitigation) in the future.

I hope that the 26th Conference of the Parties (COP26), which will start in Glasgow on the 31st of this month, will adopt the numerical theory and the technologies that we can virtually reduce.